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decision-support

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Streamline your ecoacoustic analysis with LEAVES, offering advanced tools for large-scale soundscape annotation and visualization. Join researchers and citizen scientists using LEAVES to analyze complex soundscapes faster and more accurately.

  • Updated Jun 11, 2025
  • Python

A systems-thinking essay that explains why failure rarely happens suddenly. It shows how slow drift, accumulating pressure, and weakening buffers push systems toward collapse long before outcomes change, and why prediction-focused analytics miss the most important phase of failure.

  • Updated Dec 16, 2025

A systems-thinking essay that reframes failure as a gradual transition rather than a discrete outcome. It explains how pressure accumulation, weakening buffers, and hidden instability precede visible collapse, and why prediction-based models arrive too late to prevent failure in human-centered systems.

  • Updated Dec 14, 2025

A long-form systems essay arguing that most metrics fail because they measure outcomes instead of accumulated pressure. It reframes collapse as a consequence of debt, buffer depletion, and delayed feedback, and explains why early warning depends on measuring pressure rather than predicting final events.

  • Updated Dec 19, 2025

An analytical essay on why prediction-based models fail in reflexive, unstable systems. This article argues that accuracy collapses when models influence behavior, and proposes equilibrium and force-based modeling as a more robust framework for understanding pressure, instability, and transitions in AI-shaped systems.

  • Updated Dec 13, 2025

An explanation-first HR analytics system that reconstructs why employee exit becomes rational. Instead of predicting attrition, it generates human-readable exit narratives by decomposing pressure and retention forces, adding peer context and counterfactual interventions to reveal how stability erodes over time.

  • Updated Dec 18, 2025
  • Python

An early-warning system that models disasters as instability transitions rather than isolated events. It combines force-based instability modeling with an interpretable ML escalation-risk layer to detect when hazards become disasters due to exposure growth, response delays, and buffer collapse.

  • Updated Dec 15, 2025
  • Python

A long-form systems essay arguing that machine learning fails when used as an automated decision-maker in unstable environments. It reframes ML as an early-warning instrument that exposes pressure, instability, and shrinking intervention windows, preserving human judgment instead of replacing it with late, brittle decisions.

  • Updated Dec 18, 2025

An interpretable early-warning engine that detects academic instability before grades collapse. Instead of predicting performance, it models pressure accumulation, buffer strength, and transition risk using attendance, engagement, and study load to explain fragility and identify high-leverage interventions.

  • Updated Dec 14, 2025
  • Python

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