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[Bug] RoundRobinLoadBalance sends disproportionate traffic to newly scaled-up pods during rapid scaling in Dubbo 3.3 #15762

@GLGGAG

Description

@GLGGAG

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Apache Dubbo Component

Java SDK (apache/dubbo)

Dubbo Version

Dubbo java 3.3.0
OpenJdk 1.8

Steps to reproduce this issue

We encountered an issue with the RoundRobinLoadBalance algorithm in Dubbo 3.3.x.

Every day at around 06:00, our service scales out quickly from ~50 pods to ~200 pods (Kubernetes HPA). During this period, we observed that some newly started pods receive significantly more traffic than the original pods, instead of being gradually warmed up and balanced evenly.

The traffic spike pattern looks like this (per-instance QPS monitoring):
(Monitoring screenshot: newly added pods show much higher QPS than older ones)
Image

What you expected to happen

Expected behavior:

New providers should receive traffic smoothly and proportional to weight/warm‑up rules

The load should not skew heavily to newly added pods immediately after scaling

Actual behavior:

Newly started pods receive higher QPS compared to existing pods for roughly 1–5 minutes after scaling

This causes CPU / thread pool spikes and temporary service instability on those pods

Anything else

No response

Are you willing to submit a pull request to fix on your own?

  • Yes I am willing to submit a pull request on my own!

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