Course_Work_Introduction_to_Applied_Financial_Analytics/MonteCarloSimulationforMedicalEquipment.Rmd at master · YaroslavBoiko/Course_Work_Introduction_to_Applied_Financial_Analytics · GitHub

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---
title: "Estimation of the investment project"
output: html_notebook
---

```{r}
library('FinCal')
library('bitops')
library('RCurl')
library('triangle')

result_NPV <- c()
result_IRR <- c()

#Simulations
for (i in 1:10000) {
  print(i)

  #General data

  Cost = 0.87
  Operating_Expanse = rnorm(1, 0.14, 0.02)

  # Year №0

  Net_Profit0 = -625.95
  # Year №1

  Package_PRrice = rtriangle(1, 6.04, 6.10, 6.08)
  Count = rnorm(1, 1320000, 600000)
  Receipts = Package_Price * Count

  Cost_All = (Package_Price * Count) * Cost
  Gross_Profit = Receipts - Cost_All

  Operating_Expanse_All =  Gross_Profit * Operating_Expanse

  Net_Income = Gross_Profit - Operating_Expanse_All

  Taxes = 0.07 * Net_Income

  Net_Profit1 = Net_Income - Taxes

  #Year №2

  Package_Price = rtriangle(1, 6.45, 6.55, 6.50)
  Count = rnorm(1, 14400000, 1200000)
  Receipts = Package_Price * Count

  Cost_All = (Package_Price * Count) * Cost
  Gross_Profit = Receipts - Cost_All

  Operating_Expanse_All =  Gross_Profit * Operating_Expanse

  Net_Income = Gross_Profit - Operating_Expanse_All

  Taxes = 0.07 * Net_Income

  Net_Profit2 = Net_Income - Taxes

  #Year №3
  Package_Price = rtriangle(1, 6.55, 7.10, 7.0)
  Count = rnorm(1, 15000000, 600000)
  Receipts = Package_Price * Count

  Cost_All = (Package_Price * Count) * Cost
  Gross_Profit = Receipts - Cost_All

  Operating_Expanse_All =  Gross_Profit * Operating_Expanse

  Net_Income = Gross_Profit - Operating_Expanse_All

  Taxes = 0.07 * Net_Income

  Net_Profit3 = Net_Income - Taxes


  #NPV та IRR

  new_NPV <- npv(r= 0.1, cf= c(Net_Profit0, Net_Profit1, Net_Profit2, Net_Profit3))
  result_NPV <- union(result_NPV, c(new_NPV))

  new_IRR <- irr(cf= c(Net_Profit0, Net_Profit1, Net_Profit2, Net_Profit3))
  result_IRR <- union(result_IRR, c(new_IRR))
}

hist(result_NPV)
hist(result_IRR)
boxplot(result_IRR)
summary(result_NPV)
summary(result_IRR)

```